Intelligence Squared DebateMonday, June 25, 2007 7:14
Last week Jonathan Cohen of The Weiser Group alerted me to a debate hosted by Intelligence Squared entitled “Beware the dragon: A booming China spells trouble for America”.
According to his email:
Bill Gertz, John Mearsheimer and Michael Pillsbury spoke for the motion. Daniel Rosen, James McGregor and Stapleton Roy spoke against. James Harding of the Times of London served as moderator. A live audience of about 300 at Asia Society, New York City voted 35% for the motion and 59% against at the conclusion of the debate. Six percent (6%) were undecided
Initially, I thought this was going to be purely an economic debate given all the news surrounding trade and RMB, but it started off on a political (i.e. military strength) focus before moving to a pure economic assessment.
While I am not one to get into politics in a public forum, I found this debate to be very interesting… and I think it is one that will be replayed over and over again as we get closer to the 2008 election.
The full program series:
Part I: Introduction
Part II: Bill Gertz
Part III: J. Stepelton Roy
Part IV: Michael Pillsbury
Part V: Daniel Rosen
Part VI: John J. Mearsheimer
Part VII: James McGregor
Part VIII: Q&A
Part IX: Q&A
Part XI: Closing Remarks
So, if you have 90 minutes I suggest you take the time to watch each of these.
As I have written in a number of posts, the U.S. political conditions will impact U.S. firms operating in China. We have seen this recently, and no doubt we will continue to see this as Nov 2008 approaches
Why this debate is so important is that you have arguably the best and brightest in terms of China knowledge, from a number of angles, all presenting for and against a topic that will surely be a hot button item for the near future.
And if these men are able to debate both sides of the issue so well (all having rich China experience in one form or another), imagine what will happen once the politicians get their chance to debate the issue.