Why Beijing’s Smog Will Only Grow Worse (For Now)

Tuesday, January 15, 2013 7:02
Posted in category The Big Picture

This week’s smog may have been the ‘Worst’ smog ever to hit Beijing, but if China’s continues to follow its dream to become the world’s largest economy, it is only going to grow worse.

It will grow worse because when China looks to double its economy it going to require roughly 350% more energy.  Energy used to maintain industrial output, which has historically been the largest consumer of energy, but with 300-400m people moving to the city over the next 15 – 20 years, more and more of that energy will be required to maintain an urbanized population.

To put a few numbers to the above, when I went to Copenhagen in 2009 to participate in a pre-COP15 conference it was rumored that China would surpass the US as the 1 carbon emitter.  In the 5 years since that conference, China has almost doubled their carbon emissions.

So, IF China is going to double its GDP in 15 – 20 years, and IF China does not find a radically cleaner supply and/ or radically improve efficiency in distribution and usage, we are in for a 300%+ increase in TODAY’s carbon emissions.

You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.