Why Beijing’s Smog Will Only Grow Worse (For Now)Tuesday, January 15, 2013 7:02
It will grow worse because when China looks to double its economy it going to require roughly 350% more energy. Energy used to maintain industrial output, which has historically been the largest consumer of energy, but with 300-400m people moving to the city over the next 15 – 20 years, more and more of that energy will be required to maintain an urbanized population.
To put a few numbers to the above, when I went to Copenhagen in 2009 to participate in a pre-COP15 conference it was rumored that China would surpass the US as the 1 carbon emitter. In the 5 years since that conference, China has almost doubled their carbon emissions.
So, IF China is going to double its GDP in 15 – 20 years, and IF China does not find a radically cleaner supply and/ or radically improve efficiency in distribution and usage, we are in for a 300%+ increase in TODAY’s carbon emissions.