May 19

When news of the passing of China’s new postal law held up China Post’s monopoly on express documents and small packages, it was clear that there would be groups – foreign and domestic – that were going to be scrambling to develop a work around.

It is an issue that many foreign firms have been having to work through for many years (i.e. this is nothing new), and sometimes China Post would take small measures to make sure everyone knew who was boss, but many in the industry were hopeful that the law would change and the gates would open.

Sadly, a few firms who believed the changes were coming so much that they made significant investments through asset acquisitions and mergers to position themselves within China’s domestic market in an advantageous way. The problem with that, as will be fleshed out below, is that when the new law upheld the monopoly, it removed one of the most profitable segments of the market.  Which, as you can imagine worked against firms who had invested in domestic express networks.

Key to the changes are a few BROAD definitions:

Express is defined as delivery activity quickly completed within committed time frame.
Delivery is defined as the activity to send the letter and postcard, parcel, printing matters and other items to certain individual or company upon the address attached, via sending and receiving, sorting, transportation and delivery, etc.
Letter is defined as information carrier to a particular individual or unit sealed in an envelop according to the specific address excluding book, newspaper and magazine, etc.
Parcel is defined as the weight less than 50kg, each Length, Width and Height is less than 150cm. Further, L+W+H <= 300cm.

At the same time, in breaking down the product groups, it appears that there are 3 separate products that are being addressed through this regulation

  • Letters and Postcard
  • Printed material not exceeding 5kg/ piece
  • Parcels not exceeding 10kg/ piece

However it is this passage (English translation of regulation) that effectively delivered the death blow:

Foreign invested companies are not allowed to deliver domestic Letter and Postcard.

Express companies are not allowed to deliver Monopolized Letters and Postcards and government documents.

In reading this, it is important to understand that while the first sentence pertains to foreign firms, and we heard from their people, the second sentence is really geared towards the local firms known as kauidi (express companies).  Why that is important is essentially that while FedEx was positioning itself as the foreign player to be reconed with, or at least the firm with the strongest global + China capabilities, there were literally dozens of express firms who were in the process of building their China wide networks (and international partnerships).

SF Express being one of the more interesting (which is still gladly taking by business!).

Of course, for local firms, it is possible to get certified:

    • Registered capital: delivery within one province or municipality – RMB 500,000;
    • Across province or municipality delivery – RMB 1,000,000;
    • International express – RMB 2,00,000
    • Entity type: company limited or company limited by shares
    • Service capability
    • Strict service quality control policy and operation process standard
    • Sufficient security policy and measures

Hurdles that are sure to be cleared by the likes of STO and SF express, but for many other local firms these new rules and regulations could present a significant hurdle to their ability to operate off the back of electronic bikes or through the underground.

Which, in the end, will go a long way to increasing Beijing’s dreams of improving the quality of its logistics industry.

.. and for those firms looking for a loophole, or think they will just slide by, the law has gone the extra mile to clarify that there are consequences to breaking the law:

  • Running express business without license: confiscate all illegal income and RMB 50,000 ~100,000 of penalty. If serious, RMB 100,000 ~ 200,000 of penalty.
  • If no inspection policy or no execution of inspection: punishment on responsible person, stop the business or even suspend the express license.

Moderator note – I would like to thank Eric for providing me with the translation

May 18

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May 04


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Apr 27

Important News:
DHL sees early signs of Asia stabilising
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Mar 23

Fear grips lines as box numbers shrink

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Mar 16

Important reads:
China Shipping says coastal shipping rate down 39 pct
Ships lie idle on Subic Bay

Time to Board China’s Infrastructure Train

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Mar 05

Earlier this week, there were many who saw China’s PMI of 49 as a sign of hope that things were turning around, but I did not…. and I just received this email from a good friend who is on the front lines of the cargo industry:

To be honest scary dead… it’s an absolute horror scenario going on the moment… no cargo in the market….

Heard this morning in the news around 300 cargo vessels are parked around Philippines due to no cargo in the market…

Quite scary….

For me, this pretty much says it all.

That while things were “rebounding” in February, we are in for a rough March to April as vessel bookings have dropped off the charts and boats are being parked.

Update: As a follow up to this email, I asked my friend “If no cargo in the market now, when do you see orders coming back online?”, to which he replied:

Well I don’t see things picking up before Q3 for 2009… it’s quite scary…..

Update 2: Bloomberg’s article Empty Ships Flock to Subic Bay as Lines Battle Plunging Rates provides some more context on my friend’s comments:

Subic Bay in the Philippines is the busiest it’s been since the U.S. Navy moved out 16 years ago. The traffic surge is coming from ships all carrying the same cargo –nothing.

Last week, 19 vessels were anchored in the mountain-lined bay awaiting charters near an empty container terminal.

Mar 02

China approves logistics stimulus plan

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Feb 18

China’s January exports, imports plunge
Kunming-Bangkok road: Trade growing, challenges remain

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Feb 11

Read the news after the break, but first a congratulations to good friend Mark Millar who jsut will lead Rasmussen & Simonsen International’s China expansion . I’ve known Mark since landing in Shanghai 5 1/2 years ago, and he will no doubt be a great asset to his new firm.

ADB has put out a statement saying that China must balance transport growth with environmental sustainability, and a recent Asia Pulse report says that China ports risk excessive capacity according to report

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